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SQUARES SQUARES SQUARES III₁ 3-0235 50 SHEETS 5 3-0236-100 SHEETS 5 3-0237-200 SHEETS 5 3-0137- -200 SHEETS - FILLER SALES ($K) 50 COMET S 45+ 40 PROBLEM 4-2 CALCULATIONS OF EACH

FOUR FORECASTS FOR 2013 ARE IN PP NOTES 41,333 2010 2011 2 09 = € 51,000 2012 3 Regression-based forecast V = 0.9897 a = 41,333 b = 4,000 Y = 41,333 +4000t, so C -Y(4)= 41,333+ 4000 (4) = 57,333 هنا Forecast using three Moving- average approaches EWMA (.6) ←MA (3) 2013 4 → t 2014 As a check on EWMA (.6) forecast: F4 = xX3 + α(l-a)X₂ + x (1-x)² x₁ + (1-x) ³²³ F₁ > = .6(53,000) +, 24(50,000) +,096 (45,000) +.64(45,000)

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