whose predicted probability of buying 'The Art History of Florence' was less than the
breakeven rate, and MAIL = Yes for those customers whose predicted probability is
greater than or equal to the breakeven response rate. Included in the table are:
i) the number of customers in each group
ii) the number of buyers of "The Art History of Florence" in each group
iii) the response rate (equal to #buyers divided by # customers) for each group
iv) % of total customers - shows the % of total customers in each group
v) % of total buyers - shows the % of total buyers in each group
What would the gross profit (in dollars, and also as a % of gross sales) and return on
marketing have been if BookBinders had mailed the "The Art History of Florence" offer
only to customers with a predicted probability of buying greater than the breakeven rate
(i.e. those in the MAIL = Yes group)?
Table 3: Summary Statistics by Group (Profitable vs. Not-Profitable to Target)
Bought "Art History of Florence?"
MAIL Customers
No
Yes
Total
34435
15565
50000
# Buyers
1198
3324
4522
Response
Rate
.03
.21
.09
% of Total
Customers
68.9%
31.1%
100.0%
% of Total
Buyers
26.5%
73.5%
100.0%
Fig: 1